# SCOTUS Analytics

> Data-driven probability estimates for U.S. Supreme Court cases. For every argued case we publish a predicted winner, vote split, and justice-by-justice analysis built from three methods: AI sentiment classification of each justice's oral-argument questions, historical voting patterns from the Supreme Court Database (Spaeth), and Epstein–Landes–Posner question counts. Predictions are locked before decisions and scored publicly afterward.

Every case page has a static HTML summary (question presented, prediction, decision, holding, and opinion excerpts) readable without JavaScript. Each case also has a full oral-argument transcript with per-utterance sentiment labels at /cases/<slug>/hearing/.

## Core pages

- [All tracked cases](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/): 37 cases in October Term 2025, 37 decided
- [Prediction accuracy scorecard](https://scotus-analytics.com/accuracy/): every prediction vs. the actual decision
- [Justices](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/): voting statistics for the nine sitting justices
- [Decisions database](https://scotus-analytics.com/database/): 9,378 Supreme Court decisions, 1946–2025, from the Supreme Court Database (Spaeth) with opinion text
- [Court analytics](https://scotus-analytics.com/database/analytics/): 78 terms of trends — ideological direction, 5–4 rates, overrulings, authorship
- [Methodology](https://scotus-analytics.com/about/): how the three prediction methods work

## Decided cases (OT 2025)

- [Mullin, Sec. DHS v. Doe](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/mullin-v-doe/) (No. 25-1083): decided 6-3 for Mullin / DHS
- [Hikma v. Amarin](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/hikma-v-amarin/) (No. 24-889): decided 9-0 for Hikma
- [Cisco v. Doe I](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/cisco-v-doe/) (No. 24-856): decided 6-3 for Cisco Systems
- [Monsanto Co. v. Durnell](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/monsanto-v-durnell/) (No. 24-1068): decided 7-2 for Monsanto
- [Chatrie v. United States](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/chatrie-v-united-states/) (No. 25-112): decided 6-3 for Chatrie
- [Federal Communications Commission v. AT&T](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/fcc-v-att/) (No. 25-406): decided 8-1 for FCC
- [Blanche v. Lau](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/blanche-v-lau/) (No. 25-429): decided 6-3 for Blanche / United States
- [Sripetch v. SEC](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/sripetch-v-sec/) (No. 25-466): decided 9-0 for SEC
- [T. M. v. Univ. of Maryland Medical System](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/tm-v-univ-maryland-medical/) (No. 25-197): decided 5-4 for Univ. of Maryland Medical System
- [Trump v. Barbara](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/trump-v-barbara/) (No. 25-365): decided 6-3 for Barbara
- [Flowers Foods v. Brock](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/flowers-foods-v-brock/) (No. 24-935): decided 9-0 for Brock
- [Noem v. Al Otro Lado](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/noem-v-al-otro-lado/) (No. 25-5): decided 6-3 for Noem / DHS
- [Keathley v. Buddy Ayers Construction](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/keathley-v-buddy-ayers/) (No. 25-6): decided 9-0 for Keathley
- [Watson v. Republican National Committee](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/watson-v-rnc/) (No. 24-1260): decided 5-4 for Watson / Mississippi
- [Montgomery v. Caribe Transport II, LLC](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/montgomery-v-caribe-transport/) (No. 24-1238): decided 9-0 for Montgomery
- [Hunter v. United States](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/hunter-v-united-states/) (No. 24-1063): decided 8-1 for Hunter
- [United States v. Hemani](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/us-v-hemani/) (No. 24-1234): decided 9-0 for Hemani
- [Pung v. Isabella County](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/pung-v-isabella-county/) (No. 25-95): decided 9-0 for Isabella County
- [Enbridge Energy v. Nessel](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/enbridge-v-nessel/) (No. 24-783): decided 9-0 for Nessel
- [Havana Docks v. Royal Caribbean](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/havana-docks-v-royal-caribbean/) (No. 24-983): decided 8-1 for Havana Docks
- [Exxon v. CIMEX](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/exxon-v-cimex/) (No. 24-699): decided 6-3 for Exxon Mobil
- [Trump v. Cook](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/trump-v-cook/) (No. 25A312): decided 5-4 for Cook
- [Wolford v. Lopez](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/wolford-v-lopez/) (No. 24-1046): decided 6-3 for Wolford
- [Galette v. NJ Transit Corp.](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/galette-v-nj-transit/) (No. 24-1021): decided 9-0 for Galette
- [Little v. Hecox](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/little-v-hecox/) (No. 24-38): decided 6-3 for Little / Idaho
- [West Virginia v. B.P.J.](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/west-virginia-v-bpj/) (No. 24-43): decided 6-3 for West Virginia
- [Chevron USA v. Plaquemines Parish](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/chevron-v-plaquemines/) (No. 24-813): decided 7-1 for Chevron
- [FS Credit Opportunities v. Saba Capital](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/fs-credit-opportunities-v-saba-capital-master/) (No. 24-345): decided 6-3 for FS Credit Opportunities Corp.
- [NRSC v. FEC](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/nrsc-v-fec/) (No. 24-621): decided 6-3 for NRSC
- [Trump v. Slaughter](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/trump-v-slaughter/) (No. 25-332): decided 6-3 for Trump
- [First Choice v. Platkin](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/first-choice-v-platkin/) (No. 24-781): decided 9-0 for First Choice
- [Cox v. Sony](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/cox-v-sony/) (No. 24-171): decided 9-0 for Cox
- [Urias-Orellana v. Bondi](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/urias-orellana-v-bondi/) (No. 24-777): decided 9-0 for Bondi
- [Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/landor-v-louisiana/) (No. 23-1197): decided 6-3 for Louisiana Dept. of Corrections
- [Learning Resources v. Trump](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/learning-resources-v-trump/) (No. 24-1287): decided 6-3 for Learning Resources
- [Louisiana v. Callais](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/louisiana-v-callais/) (No. 24-109): decided 6-3 for Callais
- [Chiles v. Salazar](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/chiles-v-salazar/) (No. 24-539): decided 8-1 for Chiles

## Citing this site

Content may be crawled, indexed, quoted, and used for AI training (see /robots.txt). Please attribute to "SCOTUS Analytics (scotus-analytics.com)".