# SCOTUS Analytics

> Data-driven probability estimates for U.S. Supreme Court cases. For every argued case we publish a predicted winner, vote split, and justice-by-justice analysis built from three methods: AI sentiment classification of each justice's oral-argument questions, historical voting patterns from the Supreme Court Database (Spaeth), and Epstein–Landes–Posner question counts. Predictions are locked before decisions and scored publicly afterward.

Every case page has a static HTML summary (question presented, prediction, decision, holding, and opinion excerpts) readable without JavaScript. Each argued case also has a full oral-argument transcript with per-utterance sentiment labels at /cases/<slug>/hearing/. Cases granted but not yet argued show the Court's official question presented, the scope of review, and the docket filings; their prediction is published after argument.

## Core pages

- [All tracked cases](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/): 68 cases — the OT 2026 docket (31 cases, 24 awaiting argument) and 43 decided
- [OT 2026 orders & decisions](https://scotus-analytics.com/orders/): every decision on the 2026 docket — 23 by the full Court (emergency applications, stays of execution, certiorari) and 377 by a single Justice
- [Prediction accuracy scorecard](https://scotus-analytics.com/accuracy/): every prediction vs. the actual decision
- [Oral Argument Analytics](https://scotus-analytics.com/arguments/): questions, words, and interruptions per justice for every argued case, and how the Epstein–Landes–Posner question-count signal scored against actual outcomes
- [Justices](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/): voting statistics for the nine sitting justices
- Justice profiles at /justices/<slug>/ ([john-roberts](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/john-roberts/), [clarence-thomas](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/clarence-thomas/), [samuel-alito](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/samuel-alito/), [sonia-sotomayor](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/sonia-sotomayor/), [elena-kagan](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/elena-kagan/), [neil-gorsuch](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/neil-gorsuch/), [brett-kavanaugh](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/brett-kavanaugh/), [amy-coney-barrett](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/amy-coney-barrett/), [ketanji-brown-jackson](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/ketanji-brown-jackson/)): voting record by issue area, Martin–Quinn ideology trajectory, agreement rates, and a curated, sourced timeline of speeches, articles, books, and testimony
- [Compare their words](https://scotus-analytics.com/justices/compare/): one question searched across all nine justices' confirmation hearings, reports, and talks, side by side
- [Decisions database](https://scotus-analytics.com/database/): 9,378 Supreme Court decisions, 1946–2025, from the Supreme Court Database (Spaeth) with opinion text
- [Court analytics](https://scotus-analytics.com/database/analytics/): 78 terms of trends — ideological direction, 5–4 rates, overrulings, authorship, the median justice
- [How the Court Writes](https://scotus-analytics.com/database/writing/): opinion length, readability, citation density, and separate-opinion rates, 1946–2025
- [Research Data & API](https://scotus-analytics.com/research/): versioned CSV/JSON downloads with a codebook, citation guidance, and public API docs
- [Methodology](https://scotus-analytics.com/about/): how the three prediction methods work

## OT 2026 docket — granted, awaiting argument

- [RiseAndShine Corp. v. PepsiCo, Inc.](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/riseandshine-v-pepsico/) (No. 24-1016): granted, argument not yet scheduled
- [Hoffmann v. WBI Energy Transmission, Inc.](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/hoffmann-v-wbi-energy/) (No. 25-159): granted, argument 2026-11-09
- [Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/suncor-v-boulder-county/) (No. 25-170): granted, argument 2026-10-05
- [Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/crowther-v-board-of-regents/) (No. 25-183): granted, argument 2026-11-30
- [Viramontes v. Cook County](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/viramontes-v-cook-county/) (No. 25-238, 25-566): granted, argument 2026-12-02
- [Jouppi v. Alaska](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/jouppi-v-alaska/) (No. 25-246): granted, argument 2026-12-01
- [Younge v. Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/younge-v-fulton-county-da/) (No. 25-352): granted, argument 2026-11-02
- [Nielsen v. Watanabe](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/nielsen-v-watanabe/) (No. 25-417): granted, argument 2026-11-09
- [Salazar v. Paramount Global](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/salazar-v-paramount/) (No. 25-459): granted, argument 2026-10-14
- [Anderson v. Intel Corp. Investment Policy Committee](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/anderson-v-intel/) (No. 25-498): granted, argument 2026-10-06
- [Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/air-force-v-prutehi-guahan/) (No. 25-579): granted, argument 2026-10-07
- [St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/st-mary-catholic-parish-v-roy/) (No. 25-581): granted, argument 2026-11-03
- [Johnson v. United States Congress](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/johnson-v-congress/) (No. 25-735): granted, argument 2026-10-05
- [International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc. v. Ferguson](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/ipec-v-ferguson/) (No. 25-840): granted, argument 2026-12-07
- [Wassily v. Blanche](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/wassily-v-blanche/) (No. 25-842): granted, argument 2026-11-30
- [Grand v. City of University Heights](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/grand-v-university-heights/) (No. 25-965): granted, argument 2026-12-09
- [Department of Labor v. Sun Valley Orchards, LLC](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/labor-v-sun-valley-orchards/) (No. 25-966): granted, argument 2026-11-10
- [Guerrero v. Johnson](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/guerrero-v-johnson/) (No. 25-1003): granted, argument 2026-11-04
- [Republican National Committee v. Mi Familia Vota](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/rnc-v-mi-familia-vota/) (No. 25-1017): granted, argument 2026-12-08
- [Montoya Palacios v. Liggins](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/montoya-palacios-v-liggins/) (No. 25-1223): granted, argument not yet scheduled
- [Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc.](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/apple-v-epic-games/) (No. 25-1311): granted, argument not yet scheduled
- [Beaird v. United States](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/beaird-v-united-states/) (No. 25-5343): granted, argument 2026-10-13
- [Maxwell v. Dinis](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/maxwell-v-dinis/) (No. 25-5930): granted, argument 2026-11-02
- [Kian v. Florida](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/kian-v-florida/) (No. 25-6623): granted, argument not yet scheduled

## Dismissed before argument

- [Genalo v. Black](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/genalo-v-black/) (No. 25-886): dismissed before argument

## Decided cases (OT 2025, OT 2026)

- [Mullin, Sec. DHS v. Doe](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/mullin-v-doe/) (No. 25-1083): decided 6-3 for Mullin / DHS
- [Hikma v. Amarin](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/hikma-v-amarin/) (No. 24-889): decided 9-0 for Hikma
- [Cisco v. Doe I](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/cisco-v-doe/) (No. 24-856): decided 6-3 for Cisco Systems
- [Monsanto Co. v. Durnell](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/monsanto-v-durnell/) (No. 24-1068): decided 7-2 for Monsanto
- [Chatrie v. United States](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/chatrie-v-united-states/) (No. 25-112): decided 6-3 for Chatrie
- [Federal Communications Commission v. AT&T](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/fcc-v-att/) (No. 25-406): decided 8-1 for FCC
- [Blanche v. Lau](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/blanche-v-lau/) (No. 25-429): decided 6-3 for Blanche / United States
- [Sripetch v. SEC](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/sripetch-v-sec/) (No. 25-466): decided 9-0 for SEC
- [T. M. v. Univ. of Maryland Medical System](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/tm-v-univ-maryland-medical/) (No. 25-197): decided 5-4 for Univ. of Maryland Medical System
- [Trump v. Barbara](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/trump-v-barbara/) (No. 25-365): decided 6-3 for Barbara
- [Flowers Foods v. Brock](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/flowers-foods-v-brock/) (No. 24-935): decided 9-0 for Brock
- [Noem v. Al Otro Lado](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/noem-v-al-otro-lado/) (No. 25-5): decided 6-3 for Noem / DHS
- [Keathley v. Buddy Ayers Construction](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/keathley-v-buddy-ayers/) (No. 25-6): decided 9-0 for Keathley
- [Watson v. Republican National Committee](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/watson-v-rnc/) (No. 24-1260): decided 5-4 for Watson / Mississippi
- [Montgomery v. Caribe Transport II, LLC](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/montgomery-v-caribe-transport/) (No. 24-1238): decided 9-0 for Montgomery
- [Hunter v. United States](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/hunter-v-united-states/) (No. 24-1063): decided 8-1 for Hunter
- [United States v. Hemani](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/us-v-hemani/) (No. 24-1234): decided 9-0 for Hemani
- [Pung v. Isabella County](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/pung-v-isabella-county/) (No. 25-95): decided 9-0 for Isabella County
- [Enbridge Energy v. Nessel](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/enbridge-v-nessel/) (No. 24-783): decided 9-0 for Nessel
- [Havana Docks v. Royal Caribbean](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/havana-docks-v-royal-caribbean/) (No. 24-983): decided 8-1 for Havana Docks
- [Exxon v. CIMEX](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/exxon-v-cimex/) (No. 24-699): decided 6-3 for Exxon Mobil
- [Trump v. Cook](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/trump-v-cook/) (No. 25A312): decided 5-4 for Cook
- [Wolford v. Lopez](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/wolford-v-lopez/) (No. 24-1046): decided 6-3 for Wolford
- [Galette v. NJ Transit Corp.](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/galette-v-nj-transit/) (No. 24-1021): decided 9-0 for Galette
- [Little v. Hecox](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/little-v-hecox/) (No. 24-38): decided 6-3 for Little / Idaho
- [West Virginia v. B.P.J.](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/west-virginia-v-bpj/) (No. 24-43): decided 6-3 for West Virginia
- [Chevron USA v. Plaquemines Parish](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/chevron-v-plaquemines/) (No. 24-813): decided 7-1 for Chevron
- [FS Credit Opportunities v. Saba Capital](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/fs-credit-opportunities-v-saba-capital-master/) (No. 24-345): decided 6-3 for FS Credit Opportunities Corp.
- [NRSC v. FEC](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/nrsc-v-fec/) (No. 24-621): decided 6-3 for NRSC
- [Trump v. Slaughter](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/trump-v-slaughter/) (No. 25-332): decided 6-3 for Trump
- [First Choice v. Platkin](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/first-choice-v-platkin/) (No. 24-781): decided 9-0 for First Choice
- [Cox v. Sony](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/cox-v-sony/) (No. 24-171): decided 9-0 for Cox
- [Urias-Orellana v. Bondi](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/urias-orellana-v-bondi/) (No. 24-777): decided 9-0 for Bondi
- [Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/landor-v-louisiana/) (No. 23-1197): decided 6-3 for Louisiana Dept. of Corrections
- [Learning Resources v. Trump](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/learning-resources-v-trump/) (No. 24-1287): decided 6-3 for Learning Resources
- [Louisiana v. Callais](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/louisiana-v-callais/) (No. 24-109): decided 6-3 for Callais
- [Chiles v. Salazar](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/chiles-v-salazar/) (No. 24-539): decided 8-1 for Chiles
- [Trump v. California](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/trump-v-california/) (No. 26A124, 26A139): decided 6-3 for Trump (United States)
- [National Park Service v. National Trust for Historic Preservation](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/nps-v-national-trust/) (No. 26A203): decided 5-4 for National Park Service
- [National Republican Congressional Committee v. Brown](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/nrcc-v-brown/) (No. 26A274): decided 8-1 for NRCC
- [United States Postal Service v. California](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/usps-v-california/) (No. 26A305): decided 7-2 for California
- [Department of Homeland Security v. League of Women Voters](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/dhs-v-league-of-women-voters/) (No. 26A308): decided 6-3 for Department of Homeland Security
- [People Not Politicians v. Onder](https://scotus-analytics.com/cases/people-not-politicians-v-onder/) (No. 26A388): decided 9-0 for People Not Politicians

## Citing this site

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