{
 "experiment": "Jev (TypeSafe) parallel sentiment reading, OT2026",
 "started": "2026-10-06",
 "method": "rich context; per Justice mean P(doubts lawyer) - P(supports lawyer), + = petitioner; lean = sign",
 "status": "not used in any forecast; recorded before each decision and scored after it",
 "generated": "2026-11-06",
 "totals": {
  "jev": {
   "justicesCorrect": 0,
   "justices": 0,
   "winnersCorrect": 0,
   "casesScored": 0
  },
  "sonnet-5-5": {
   "justicesCorrect": 0,
   "justices": 0,
   "winnersCorrect": 0,
   "casesScored": 0
  },
  "jev-system": {
   "justicesCorrect": 0,
   "justices": 0,
   "winnersCorrect": 0,
   "casesScored": 0
  }
 },
 "baselineOT2025": "/data/forecasts/jev-backtest.json (retroactive: Jev 99/122, Sonnet 5.5 88/122)",
 "cases": [
  {
   "slug": "air-force-v-prutehi-guahan",
   "name": "Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan",
   "argued": "2026-10-07",
   "jevRun": "2026-10-08",
   "model": "jev-1.13.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 2,
    "respondent": 7,
    "lean": "respondent"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 52% of the Justices' questions to Department of the Air Force's lawyer and 47% of those to Prutehi Guahan's lawyer as expressing doubt; Department of the Air Force's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: skepticism toward Department of the Air Force, clarifying toward Prutehi Guahan.",
    "Most one-sided: Roberts, doubtful in 25% of questions to Department of the Air Force's lawyer vs 0% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 4,
    "respondent": 5
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 5,
    "respondent": 3
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.505,
    "Thomas": 0.741,
    "Sotomayor": 0.289,
    "Kagan": 0.24,
    "Gorsuch": 0.28,
    "Kavanaugh": 0.527,
    "Barrett": 0.667,
    "Jackson": 0.549
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  },
  {
   "slug": "anderson-v-intel",
   "name": "Anderson v. Intel",
   "argued": "2026-10-06",
   "jevRun": "2026-10-06",
   "model": "jev-1.13.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 1,
    "respondent": 8,
    "lean": "respondent"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 52% of the Justices' questions to Anderson's lawyer and 24% of those to Intel's lawyer as expressing doubt; Anderson's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: skepticism toward Anderson, clarifying toward Intel.",
    "Most one-sided: Alito, doubtful in 100% of questions to Anderson's lawyer vs 33% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 0,
    "respondent": 9
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 0,
    "respondent": 8
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.467,
    "Thomas": 0.338,
    "Alito": 0.305,
    "Sotomayor": 0.223,
    "Kagan": 0.342,
    "Gorsuch": 0.396,
    "Barrett": 0.457,
    "Jackson": 0.318
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  },
  {
   "slug": "beaird-v-united-states",
   "name": "Beaird v. United States",
   "argued": "2026-10-13",
   "jevRun": "2026-10-15",
   "model": "jev-1.13.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 4,
    "respondent": 5,
    "lean": "respondent"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 40% of the Justices' questions to Beaird's lawyer and 47% of those to United States's lawyer as expressing doubt; United States's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: skepticism toward Beaird, skepticism toward United States.",
    "Most one-sided: Gorsuch, doubtful in 68% of questions to United States's lawyer vs 25% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 2,
    "respondent": 7
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 5,
    "respondent": 4
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.356,
    "Thomas": 0.844,
    "Alito": 0.677,
    "Sotomayor": 0.573,
    "Kagan": 0.351,
    "Gorsuch": 0.875,
    "Kavanaugh": 0.352,
    "Barrett": 0.676,
    "Jackson": 0.333
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  },
  {
   "slug": "guerrero-v-johnson",
   "name": "Guerrero v. Johnson",
   "argued": "2026-11-04",
   "jevRun": "2026-11-06",
   "model": "jev-1.14.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 4,
    "respondent": 5,
    "lean": "respondent"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 51% of the Justices' questions to Guerrero's lawyer and 57% of those to Johnson's lawyer as expressing doubt; Johnson's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: skepticism toward Guerrero, skepticism toward Johnson.",
    "Most one-sided: Thomas, doubtful in 100% of questions to Johnson's lawyer vs 0% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 6,
    "respondent": 2
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 5,
    "respondent": 4
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.499,
    "Thomas": 0.899,
    "Alito": 0.784,
    "Sotomayor": 0.432,
    "Kagan": 0.286,
    "Gorsuch": 0.903,
    "Kavanaugh": 0.775,
    "Barrett": 0.867,
    "Jackson": 0.449
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  },
  {
   "slug": "johnson-v-congress",
   "name": "Johnson v. United States Congress",
   "argued": "2026-10-05",
   "jevRun": "2026-10-06",
   "model": "jev-1.13.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 6,
    "respondent": 3,
    "lean": "petitioner"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 30% of the Justices' questions to Johnson's lawyer and 54% of those to United States Congress's lawyer as expressing doubt; United States Congress's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: skepticism toward Johnson, skepticism toward United States Congress.",
    "Most one-sided: Barrett, doubtful in 67% of questions to United States Congress's lawyer vs 0% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 7,
    "respondent": 2
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 7,
    "respondent": 2
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.633,
    "Thomas": 0.58,
    "Alito": 0.433,
    "Sotomayor": 0.89,
    "Kagan": 0.403,
    "Gorsuch": 0.881,
    "Kavanaugh": 0.816,
    "Barrett": 0.632,
    "Jackson": 0.845
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  },
  {
   "slug": "maxwell-v-dinis",
   "name": "Maxwell v. Dinis",
   "argued": "2026-11-02",
   "jevRun": "2026-11-03",
   "model": "jev-1.14.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 2,
    "respondent": 7,
    "lean": "respondent"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 51% of the Justices' questions to Maxwell's lawyer and 56% of those to Dinis's lawyer as expressing doubt; Dinis's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: skepticism toward Maxwell, skepticism toward Dinis.",
    "Most one-sided: Sotomayor, doubtful in 100% of questions to Maxwell's lawyer vs 75% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 2,
    "respondent": 7
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 6,
    "respondent": 2
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.525,
    "Thomas": 0.359,
    "Alito": 0.485,
    "Sotomayor": 0.511,
    "Kagan": 0.733,
    "Gorsuch": 0.573,
    "Kavanaugh": 0.765,
    "Jackson": 0.843
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  },
  {
   "slug": "salazar-v-paramount",
   "name": "Salazar v. Paramount Global",
   "argued": "2026-10-14",
   "jevRun": "2026-10-19",
   "model": "jev-1.13.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 4,
    "respondent": 5,
    "lean": "respondent"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 48% of the Justices' questions to Salazar's lawyer and 66% of those to Paramount Global's lawyer as expressing doubt; Paramount Global's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: clarifying toward Salazar, skepticism toward Paramount Global.",
    "Most one-sided: Jackson, doubtful in 90% of questions to Paramount Global's lawyer vs 11% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 7,
    "respondent": 2
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 3,
    "respondent": 5
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.397,
    "Thomas": 0.346,
    "Alito": 0.133,
    "Sotomayor": 0.716,
    "Kagan": 0.664,
    "Kavanaugh": 0.499,
    "Barrett": 0.428,
    "Jackson": 0.847
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  },
  {
   "slug": "st-mary-catholic-parish-v-roy",
   "name": "St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy",
   "argued": "2026-11-03",
   "jevRun": "2026-11-06",
   "model": "jev-1.14.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 4,
    "respondent": 5,
    "lean": "respondent"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 60% of the Justices' questions to St. Mary Catholic Parish's lawyer and 45% of those to Roy's lawyer as expressing doubt; St. Mary Catholic Parish's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: skepticism toward St. Mary Catholic Parish, skepticism toward Roy.",
    "Most one-sided: Jackson, doubtful in 80% of questions to St. Mary Catholic Parish's lawyer vs 29% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 5,
    "respondent": 4
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 5,
    "respondent": 2
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.613,
    "Thomas": 0.723,
    "Alito": 0.808,
    "Kagan": 0.071,
    "Kavanaugh": 0.761,
    "Barrett": 0.708,
    "Jackson": 0.204
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  },
  {
   "slug": "suncor-v-boulder-county",
   "name": "Suncor Energy v. Boulder County",
   "argued": "2026-10-05",
   "jevRun": "2026-10-06",
   "model": "jev-1.13.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 3,
    "respondent": 5,
    "lean": "respondent"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 51% of the Justices' questions to Suncor Energy's lawyer and 65% of those to Boulder County's lawyer as expressing doubt; Boulder County's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: skepticism toward Suncor Energy, skepticism toward Boulder County.",
    "Most one-sided: Barrett, doubtful in 75% of questions to Boulder County's lawyer vs 33% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 5,
    "respondent": 3
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 5,
    "respondent": 3
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.663,
    "Thomas": 0.692,
    "Sotomayor": 0.193,
    "Kagan": 0.569,
    "Gorsuch": 0.365,
    "Kavanaugh": 0.77,
    "Barrett": 0.671,
    "Jackson": 0.174
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  },
  {
   "slug": "younge-v-fulton-county-da",
   "name": "Younge v. Fulton County DA",
   "argued": "2026-11-02",
   "jevRun": "2026-11-03",
   "model": "jev-1.14.0",
   "jevLeans": {
    "petitioner": 6,
    "respondent": 3,
    "lean": "petitioner"
   },
   "headline": [
    "Jev read 40% of the Justices' questions to Younge's lawyer and 63% of those to Fulton County DA's lawyer as expressing doubt; Fulton County DA's lawyer drew more.",
    "Most common label: clarifying toward Younge, skepticism toward Fulton County DA.",
    "Most one-sided: Kagan, doubtful in 89% of questions to Fulton County DA's lawyer vs 22% to the other side (Justices with at least 3 questions to each side)."
   ],
   "sonnetLeans": {
    "petitioner": 4,
    "respondent": 5
   },
   "systemLeans": {
    "petitioner": 6,
    "respondent": 2
   },
   "systemProbabilities": {
    "Roberts": 0.523,
    "Thomas": 0.083,
    "Alito": 0.377,
    "Sotomayor": 0.824,
    "Kagan": 0.916,
    "Gorsuch": 0.879,
    "Barrett": 0.758,
    "Jackson": 0.899
   },
   "decided": false,
   "status": "awaiting decision"
  }
 ]
}